Surveys of professional economic forecasters and financial market data can reveal public perceptions about the future conduct ...

Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary C. Daly's remarks at the American Bankers Association's 2025 Conference ...

Hosted by the American Bankers Association, President Mary C. Daly delivered keynote remarks on the important role of ...

How much variation in labor market conditions and inflation rates is there at the sub-national level? Our Regional Indicators page maps out labor market, price, and earnings data across the country.

We have policy calibrated for this economy and the one we expect to have, and we’ve got time now to be actively watching to ...

We examine the impact of systematic media reporting on household inflation expectations, focusing on how selective news coverage influences household responses to inflation news. In a model where ...

Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip N. Jefferson delivered remarks on central bank communication at the Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy Conference. San Francisco President and CEO Mary C. Daly ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. The Treasury yield premium model by Jens H.E. Christensen and Glenn D. Rudebusch (CR) decomposes the nominal yield curve into three ...

A substantial and unexpected rise in women’s labor force participation rates over the past few years has been a key factor spurring rapid labor force growth. In particular, Hispanic women have made a ...

Before the pandemic, the U.S. unemployment rate reached a historic low that was close to estimates of its underlying longer-run value and the short-run level associated with an absence of inflationary ...